Yesterday I had a position open which was down 2%. My intuition was that it would go back up again shortly, but my XGBoost model was giving me a no-go signal. I thought there wasn’t much point in developing the model if I didn’t use it, so I took the loss. For the past day (every six hours) I get another no-go, and indeed the price, while fluctuating a bit, has generally been down. I’m gaining some confidence in the model, especially as so far it gives no-go signals fairly rarely.